Matt Corral’s journey is straight out of a Hollywood script – adapted for a kid in Southern California.
Corral went from beloved private school starting quarterback and teammate of Michael Pittman Jr. to suspected scapegoat following an altercation with Wayne Gretzky’s son. Between Oaks Christian School and Long Beach Poly, he threw for over 11,000 yards and 123 touchdowns, earning a four-star prospect rating from 247Sports.
He dreamed of playing quarterback at Southern Cal and accepted an offer from the school, but would opt out from there, then commit and then opt out of Florida before tying himself to Ole Miss.
He went from starting on the bench to starting fresh after a complete coaching change with the Rebels. Under Coach Lane Kiffin, Corral led the nation in total offense (384.3 yards per outing) and finished as the only FBS player with over 500 rushing yards and 3,300 passing yards in 2020. , then beat those numbers in 2021.
Age at week 1: 23 | Height: 6-1 5/8 | Mass: 212 | 40 times: n / A
Body type comparable to: Rex Grosman
We break down everything you need to know about Corral from a fantasy manager’s perspective, including best fits, Dynasty outlook, measurables, scouting report, key stats and an NFL comparison.
Best Fantasy Adjustments
Unlike fellow prospect Kenny Pickett, Corral doesn’t think about competing for game time in training camp and would instead try to improve his game through practices while Mitchell Trubisky closes the gap for a year. But as early as 2023, Matt Canada’s offense could work well with a two-way quarterback in Corral surrounded by a stable offensive line and quality receivers. This landing point offers the longest term from one year.
New York Giants
Corral would wait for a year while Daniel Jones competes in 2022, theoretically improving his game under new head coach Brian Daboll. Not only did Daboll coax the accuracy and efficiency of raw prospect Josh Allen, he tried to recruit Corral to Alabama once. Their familiarity with each other could help speed up Corral’s development.
If Corral were to land on a team where he could start right away, Seattle would be best for Fantasy thanks to their terrific receivers. Putting rookie quarterbacks on the field is no stranger to Pete Carroll, and the Seahawks’ current offense could be tweaked to support Corral’s strengths this year with an eye on development through 2023. If Corral grew his game of assists, his ceiling could come close to what Russell Wilson did in Seattle.
The next best long-term fantasy suits: New Orleans, Philadelphia, Atlanta
Worst adjustments among teams needing QBs: Carolina, Washington
Corral offers a lot of intriguing potential that matches what NFL teams are looking for in quarterbacks, but his film suggests he shouldn’t be fielded in 2022. That means Fantasy managers should consider Corral as part of a long term plan. . Ideally, Corral would land with a coaching staff with job security and experience developing quarterbacks. He could then sit out his rookie year and compete for a starting job in 2023. If that scenario plays out, Corral would be caught with a late second or third third in the rookie-only drafts in the one-QB leagues and a choice among the first 8. in two-QB/Superflex. If he finds himself in a less than ideal situation, shrewd fantasy managers will simply avoid him thinking he won’t represent much statistically.
- Athletic talent with a smooth, flowing body. Not necessarily a double threat but absolutely ready to run if the opportunity arises
- Played primarily in the RPO/shotgun spread offense. Experienced with up-tempo playing. Pass well sold counterfeits in RPO. Claimed that many third and fourth down concepts were from NFL concepts.
- Quickly set up his base quickly after simulating RPO transfers, snapping his feet, hips, and shoulders in perfect synchronic harmony to set up his throws.
- Quick release on his passes without unnecessary movement.
- A powerful and lively arm with speed ranging from good to elite. Several passages of more than 50 Air Yards on film.
- Was a good, mostly accurate distributor of short, fast throws within the RPO offense. Should become an effective short-range passer in any scheme.
- The bread and butter throws were tilts and stop routes out of the RPO. Could throw them in his sleep.
- Exceptional when not under pressure, completing 73.1% of his passes for 9.44 yards per attempt. Tossed much better intermediate and deep shots when he had time.
- Typically well maneuvered around and out of the pressure pocket. Showed lots of good evasive skills when under duress and frequently thrown at his “hot” read or run for positive yardage.
- Learned to take better care of football: Had two games with more than five steals in 2020, had five steals in total in 2021. Told CBS Sports HQ in February that he had to learn not to be so aggressive and take what the tusks gave.
- Solid burst, acceleration and speed like a rusher. He generally followed his blockers and showed a very good awareness of when to give up a run and slip rather than take the hit or go out of bounds to stop the clock.
- Height and size are below average. May have gained weight for the Combine.
- 463 of the 468 dropouts in 2021 were shotgun. Must learn to play under center.
- Bench in 2019, but perhaps has more to do with coaches fighting to keep their jobs than the way Corral has played.
- I felt like the exit point was a bit low. Could lead to battering in the pros.
- I really felt like Ole Miss’s offense didn’t require much thought from him. The majority of his throws seemed pre-determined based on pre-snapshot reads or were partial post-snapshot reads. Rarely, if ever, scanned until its third progression and rarely found and reached its second.
- Fixed targets frequently. Led to a number of bailout catches from his receivers. He absolutely needs to get better at handling defenses with his eyes or he will be picked every game.
- Decision making takes work. Too often missed open targets in the field and settled for shorter options or felt pressure and took off or got hit. Would sometimes throw in obvious tight coverage (or even worse double coverage). Can trust his receivers and tight ends too much to make plays on 50-50 balls.
- Too many instances of not feeling or anticipating the pressure of the pass, resulting in short “hot” throws or errors. Often seemed panicked in such situations. NFL defensive coaches will put a lot of pressure on until Corral proves he can beat him.
- Struggled under pressure, completing 42.9% of his passes from 5.3 yards per attempt.
- Incredibly raw on intermediate and deeper casts. Has a 52.1% completion percentage on passes 10+ Air Yards with nine touchdowns on 142 attempts (6.3% touchdown rate ranked 97th among qualifying quarterbacks). Only occasionally flashed with anticipation and progressions. Able to do deep bucket throws and attack burst cover, but didn’t do it consistently.
- Suffered three ankle injuries in 2021: a sprained right ankle he played in October, a left ankle injury in late October against Auburn that forced him out of the game, and a sprained right ankle on the day of the Year 2022 against Baylor which saw him return to the sidelines on crutches. The ankle sprain limited Corral to the Combine.
- Teams should investigate important maturity issues. Changed high schools following an altercation at a high school basketball game with Wayne Gretzky’s son, telling CBS Sports in 2021 that the Gretzky family “went through hoops to f—ma life” while insisting that he never threw a punch. Committed to USC dream university but later disengaged for reasons possibly related to the altercation. Then committed to Florida but pulled out after a coaching change because he “just didn’t believe what they were saying” about whether or not he would be their starter. Was a key figure in the 2018 Egg Bowl fight. Admitted to CBS Sports that he once had a drinking problem, and also said he proudly overcame depression through therapy in 2019.
Breakdown of statistics
|2021 against Top-25||5||63.1||1046||8||4||2||52||154||3||4|
Advanced Stats You Need to Know
- 463 of 468 dropbacks were shotgun
- Average target depth of 8.5 (ranked 64th out of all qualified college quarterbacks)
- 5.2% DT rate (60th)
- 46.7% TD rate on passes thrown 10 yards or less from the end zone (24th)
- 51.5% success rate on passes in the red zone (84th)
- 27 of 35 red zone completions traveled 4 Air Yards or less
- PFF traced Corral with ‘turnover-worthy play’ on 2.1% of his passes (sixth most)
- 607 of his receiving yards came on screen plays (5th most)
- 2,023 of his passing yards came after the catch (7th at most)
- Has a 52.1% completion percentage on passes 10+ Air Yards with nine touchdowns on 142 attempts (6.3% touchdown rate ranked 97th among qualified quarterbacks)
There are a lot of Marcus Mariotas in the Corral. Both are quarterbacks who excelled in a specific scheme that made them great in college. Both were also incomplete passers when finished in college. Mariota started a job right away and never really excelled until he was benched and dropped. Corral needs a year of acclimatization to professional play before reliably giving up his chance to win games. If he receives one, he should eclipse Mariota’s career and potentially become one of the most exciting passers in the league.