Ohio State Football Game-by-Game Predictions According to the ESPN FPI

If you’re like me, you’ve forgotten summer vacation and are now wrapped up and focused on the upcoming college football season. Things have taken off since we last saw Ohio State play a game against Utah in the Rose Bowl, and now we’re only months away from the scarlet appearance. and gray on a high definition television or streaming device near you.

Every year we like to keep an eye on what ESPN Football Power Index said about the Buckeyes. And as the season approaches and in-season, its “Matchup Predictor” uses beeps and bloops to produce the percentage chance that Ohio State will win each game on its schedule.

Luckily, scientists, epidemiologists and Pythagorean Theory types have upped those odds of winning every game on the 2022 schedule for the first time this season.

So, now that I’ve returned from sailing the high seas with Mickey Mouse and my family, it’s time to see what the world leader’s odds are of OSU winning all of its regular college football games in 2022.

We start with our Lady (yeah, that should be fun), and let’s go down to Michigan (also fun in a revenge and TPing neighbor Wolverine in a way).

September 3 against Notre-Dame

November 27, 2021; Stanford, California, USA; Notre Dame Fighting Irish defensive coordinator Marcus Freeman stands on the sidelines during the second quarter against the Stanford Cardinal at Stanford Stadium. Credit: Darren Yamashita – USA TODAY Sports

Ohio Stadium (Columbus, OH)

Predicted winner: ohio state
Buckeyes Win Probability: 83.5%
All-Time Series: OSU leads 4-2

Expected running record: 1-0

September 10 vs. Arkansas State

October 7, 2021; Jonesboro, Arkansas, USA; Arkansas State Red Wolves quarterback Layne Hatcher (3) fakes the hand off to running back Lincoln Pare (22) at Centennial Bank Stadium. Credit: Petre Thomas-USA TODAY Sports

Ohio Stadium (Columbus, OH)

Predicted winner: ohio state
Buckeyes Win Probability: 99.3%
All-Time Series: First game

Expected running record: 2-0

September 17 vs. Toledo

September 23, 2017; Miami Gardens, Florida, USA; Toledo Rockets head coach Jason Candle watches from the sideline the game against the Miami Hurricanes during the second half at Hard Rock Stadium. Credit: Jasen Vinlove-USA TODAY Sports

Ohio Stadium (Columbus, OH)

Predicted winner: ohio state
Buckeyes Win Probability: 98.0%
All-Time Series: OSU leads 3-0

Expected running record: 3-0

September 24 vs. Wisconsin

Wisconsin Badgers running back Braelon Allen (0) runs for a long first down in the third quarter against Nebraska Cornhuskers safety Myles Farmer (4) during their football game Saturday, Nov. 20, 2021 at Camp Randall in Madison , Wis. Dan Powers/ USA TODAY NETWORK-Wisconsin

Ohio Stadium (Columbus, OH)

Predicted winner: ohio state
Buckeyes Win Probability: 92.0%
All-Time Series: OSU leads 61-18-5

Projected running record: 4-0

October 1 vs. Rutgers

WATCH: What Rutgers HC Greg Schiano said about Ohio State postgame

Rutgers Scarlet Knights head coach Greg Schiano walks onto the field during pregame warmups before an NCAA Division I football game between the Rutgers Scarlet Knights and the Ohio State Buckeyes on Saturday 2 October 2021, at SHI Stadium in Piscataway, New Jersey. Credit: Columbus Dispatch

Ohio Stadium (Columbus, OH)

Predicted winner: ohio state
Buckeyes Win Probability: 98.5%
All-Time Series: OSU leads 8-0

Projected running record: 5-0

October 8 in the State of Michigan

Michigan State Spartans quarterback Payton Thorne (10) heads the ball against the Maryland Terrapins during first half action Saturday, November 13, 2021 at Spartan Stadium. Credit: USA TODAY Sports Network

Spartan Stadium (East Lansing, MI)

Predicted winner: ohio state
Buckeyes Win Probability: 83.1%
All-Time Series: OSU leads 35-15

Projected running record: 6-0

October 22 vs. Iowa

Iowa Hawkeyes players Ryan Gersonde (2) Riley Moss (33) quarterback Spencer Petras (7) wide receiver Max Cooper (19) and defensive back Jack Koerner (28) get ready before a football game of the NCAA Big Ten Conference against Indiana, Saturday, Sept. 4, 2021, at Kinnick Stadium in Iowa City, Iowa. Credit: USA TODAY Sports Network

Ohio Stadium (Columbus, OH)

Predicted winner: ohio state
Buckeyes Win Probability: 95.0%
All-Time Series: OSU leads 46-15-3

Projected running record: 7-0

October 29 at Penn State

Penn State Nittany Lions head coach James Franklin shouts during the fourth quarter of the NCAA football game against the Ohio State Buckeyes at Ohio Stadium in Columbus on Sunday 31 October 2021. Credit: Columbus Dispatch

Beaver Stadium (State College, Pennsylvania)

Predicted winner: ohio state
Buckeyes Win Probability: 82.9%
All-Time Series: OSU leads 22-14

Projected running record: 8-0

November 5 at Northwestern

Sep 25, 2021; Evanston, Ill., USA; Northwestern Wildcats head coach Pat Fitzgerald on the sidelines during the first half against the Ohio Bobcats at Ryan Field. Credit: David Banks-USA TODAY Sports

Ryan Field (Evanston, Ill.)

Predicted winner: ohio state
Buckeyes Win Probability: 96.8%
All-Time Series: OSU leads 64-14-1

Projected running record: 9-0

Nov. 12 vs. Indiana

Indiana Hoosiers head coach Tom Allen watches from the sideline during the fourth quarter of the NCAA football game at Memorial Stadium in Bloomington, Ind. on Saturday, Oct. 23, 2021. The State of the Ohio won 54-7. Credit: The Columbus Dispatch

Ohio Stadium (Columbus, OH)

Predicted winner: ohio state
Buckeyes Win Probability: 98.0%
All-Time Series: OSU leads 77-12-5

Expected race record: 10-0

November 19 in Maryland

October 1, 2021; College Park, Maryland, USA; Maryland Terrapins wide receiver Dontay Demus Jr. (7) is hit by Iowa Hawkeyes linebacker Kelby Telander (25) during the first half at Capital One Field in Maryland Stadium. Credit: Scott Taetsch-USA TODAY Sports

Capital One Field at Maryland Stadium (College Park, MD)

Predicted winner: ohio state
Buckeyes Win Probability: 90.6%
All-Time Series: OSU leads 7-0

Projected running record: 11-0

Nov. 19 vs. Michigan

Michigan football borrows, ah-hem, steals Ohio State lore

Jim Harbaugh would owe Michigan a $1.5 million buyout if he were to leave this year.
Ohio State Buckeyes and Michigan Wolverines. Credit: USA TODAY Sports Network

Ohio Stadium (Columbus, OH)

Predicted winner: ohio state
Buckeyes Win Probability: 84.8%
All-Time Series: OSU Trails 51-59-6

Expected final regular season record: 12-0

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